April 30, 2025

Crisis in Victoria: Youth Crime Out of Control

Crisis in Victoria: Youth Crime Out of Control
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Crisis in Victoria: Youth Crime Out of Control

In this episode of "Why Is It So?”, I take a look into the alarming surge of youth crime still sweeping across Victoria. With crime rates among young offenders tripling, the government and judiciary's lackluster response comes under scrutiny. As incidents of home invasions, carjackings, and violent street attacks rise, the spotlight is on Premier Jacinta Allen's delayed response and the inadequacies of the current justice system.

I’ll walk you through real-life examples of violent acts committed by teenagers who repeatedly receive bail, highlighting the flaws in the judiciary system that prioritizes rehabilitation over public safety. Together we'll explore successful crime reduction strategies from New York City, emphasizing the urgent need for a similar approach in Victoria.

The episode paints a stark picture of Melbourne's broader decline, from increasing crime rates to deteriorating city conditions, urging action to prevent further degradation. Tune in for an eye-opening discussion on the causes, consequences, and potential solutions for Victoria's pressing crime problem.

00:12 - Welcome to Why Is It So?

03:04 - Exposing Youth Crime in Victoria

08:20 - Lessons from New York’s Crime Strategy

11:04 - Comparing Crime Rates: Victoria vs. New York

13:40 - Concluding Thoughts on Victoria’s Future

WEBVTT

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Welcome to Why Is It So? Your last defence for common sense with your co-hosts

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Paul Zammett and Vince Locizzano.

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Welcome to Why Is It So?

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My name is Paul and the podcast you are about to hear was ready to be published about two months ago.

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The subject is youth crime running amok in Victoria.

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The reason it wasn't published was that these home invasions and carjackings

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have now began to invade not only Melbourne, but they have spread to the country towns in Victoria.

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One of these towns recently had a number of ugly invasions.

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The country town is Bendigo, and the member of Parliament for the Bendigo area

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is no other than our Jacinta Allen.

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Yes, our Premier. It is amazing how when it's their home, how quickly the politicians

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wake up, especially when they are the boss.

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Premier Allen suddenly decided to do something about it.

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Within a couple of weeks or so,

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Jacinta held a press conference to announce that her cabinet had decided to

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stop the revolving door syndrome in our courts and no more parole after parole

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and custodial sentences were to be increased.

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The new laws were passed within 10 days or so, so I thought that we were heading in the right direction.

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I held up on publishing, waiting to see the change did upon offenders.

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After the law was passed, surprise number one appeared, when Jacinta Allen announced

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that although the law was passed, it would not take effect until September,

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six months later.

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I don't know why. So, here is a podcast which I held back.

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Welcome to Why Is It So? Today we tackle an issue that's been spiralling out of control.

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Youth crime in Victoria.

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The crime rate among offenders aged between 10 and 18 has tripled.

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Means our current state government took office.

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That's right, tripled. But if you ask Premier Jacinta Allen or her predecessor

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Dan Andrews, they'll tell you it's all under control. I can tell you, it's not.

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From machete-wielding teenagers to repeat offenders cycling through judiciary

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that hands out bail like Halloween candy.

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Victoria is experiencing a law and order crisis like never before.

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And yet, the government and the judiciary remain willfully blind.

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Today, we're breaking it all down, exposing the broken system and asking the

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question, how much worse can it get before they actually do something?

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Music.

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Let's start with the basics. We have teenagers with criminal records longer

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than their school reports.

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Some of them have been arrested 10, 15 and even 20 and more times,

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yet they continue to walk free.

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The result? More crime, more violence, more innocent people getting hurt.

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Take a recent case that should interest every law-abiding citizen.

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A 15-year-old thud flashing a machete in broad daylight stalked a 39-year-old

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man who was simply getting out of his car.

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He followed him, demanded his keys, and when the man refused, slashed him in the head.

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Blood poured from the wound as bystanders rushed to help him.

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And what happened next? Police arrested the attacker, but here's the kicker.

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He was already out on bail for four other offences, and you won't believe this,

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he applied for bail again.

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This is not an isolated incident. This is the norm.

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Carjackings, home invasions, violent street attacks, happening every single day.

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Police work tirelessly to catch these criminals, only for the judges to set them free.

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The same offenders are back on the streets before the paperwork is even finished.

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New South Wales, at least, is somewhat stricter with their bail conditions.

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Victoria, however, we might as well have catch and release policy for criminals.

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Why is this happening? There's a heap of things.

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It's a perfect storm.

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Soft on crime policies prevail. The courts prioritise rehabilitation over public safety.

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Bail is given out even to violent repeat offenders.

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Sentences, if handed down, are laughingly short.

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The thrill factor comes into it as well. Many of these offenders do it for fun.

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Stealing cars, outrunning police, committing armed robberies, it's all a game to them.

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And why wouldn't it be? There are no real consequences.

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If they get caught, they get let out to do it again.

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The lack of fear, lack of respect just doesn't exist with these people.

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They don't fear the police. They don't respect the courts. and they certainly

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don't care about their victims.

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Until the government and the judiciary accept that this is a war on crime,

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not a therapy session for criminals, nothing will change.

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The decline of Melbourne has never been so severe. It's not just crime that's out of control.

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It's the entire city.

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Melbourne, once a world-class destination, is turning into a no-go zone.

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Streets are filthy. Traffic is a nightmare due to oversized tram platforms and the bike lanes.

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Parking is a money grab.

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Expensive, limited and frustrating.

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Homeless encampments outside of Flinders Street Station turn the area into a tent city.

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Why would anyone visit the CBD when they can go to a clean, safe shopping centre with free parking?

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Melbourne's decline is a direct result of weak leadership.

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And it gets personal. On a busy weekday morning, I found myself at a tram stop in Elizabeth Street,

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Only a stone's throw from where the man named Andrew Truman was brutally attacked and later died.

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While waiting for the tram, I witnessed a scene unfold that was tense,

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aggressive, and all too familiar.

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Two unkept men, arguing over money, surrounding a frightened woman,

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and invading my personal space.

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When one threatened the other with violence, I knew this wouldn't end well.

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I made the choice to walk away and wait for the next tram.

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Moments later, police chased down the very tram I avoided.

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That instinct to walk away, it may have saved me.

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These aren't one-offs. They're every day and this is happening in broad daylight.

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Okay.

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Having just spoken about the problem

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which is a big one it might be

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worthwhile that we have a look at how we can get over this problem and how other

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countries and other territories have found ways of doing it in the 1990s new

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york state in the u.s was in a similar position as we have here in Victoria now.

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At that time, it was not safe to walk in New York streets after dark,

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and there were areas that the general public would not enter unless they actually lived there.

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Rudolph Giuliani, the New York Mayor during the period 1994 to 2001,

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and the New York City Police Commissioner, William Bratton.

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Adopted CompStat, Broken Windows Policing, and other strategies in a major effort to reduce crime.

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CompStat is a performance management system that is used to reduce crime and

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achieve other police department goals.

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CompStat emphasises information sharing, responsibility and accountability and

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improving effectiveness.

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The broken windows policing is a policing strategy that targets minor crimes

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in neighbourhoods to reduce the number of major crimes.

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The theory is based on the idea that visible signs of crime and disorder encourage

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more crime and disorder.

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How it works, police focus on areas with higher crime rates.

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Police issue tickets and arrest people for low-level infractions.

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The goal is to maintain social order and behaviour at a low level.

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Examples of minor crimes targeted, vandalism, loitering, public drinking,

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fair evasion and graffiti, reasonably minus problems.

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The theory was introduced in 1982 by social scientists James Q.

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Wilson and George L. Kelling, and it was popularized in the 1990s by New York

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City Police Commissioner William Bratton and the Mayor Rudy Giuliani.

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They also brought in the three arrests and you're out policy,

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which meant that after a third court appearance.

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It was a custodial sentence without exception.

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After a short time, the crime figures dropped, with an amazing result.

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The violent crime rate dropped by 56% during the eight years that he served as mayor.

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Murder, down nearly two-thirds.

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Robbery, down 67%. Many credited Giuliani with reducing crime and improving the city's economy,

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and lauded his leadership during the September 11, 2001 attacks and his coordination

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of the emergency response in the immediate aftermath.

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To give you a comparison, crime has increased by 100% in the state of Victoria here in Australia,

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while the Labor government have been in power from 2014 to 2024, just over 10 years.

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The number of criminal incidents recorded by Victoria Police in the period of

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2015 to 2024 was 431,683 incidents.

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That includes an increase of 15% from just the last year from 375,460 incidents.

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On these figures crime in

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the last 10 years has certainly doubled victoria

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needs to change what we need to change is judges who prioritize public safety

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over rehabilitation a government that listens to victims not to criminals zero

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tolerance for repeat offenders.

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Proper police strategy like New York's broken windows approach.

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If we don't act now, Melbourne's crime problem will only get worse.

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The government and judiciary have two choices.

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Restore law and order or watch the city continue to crumble. What's it going to be?

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The state of Victoria is a joke, not only locally or nationally,

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but all around the rest of the world.

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Cost of living, homeless people, rising crime rates, judiciary.

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These traits are things that every country has to deal with.

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But the way the Victorian government has handled all of these things is to be

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by far the worst of any country in the world.

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We are broke with a debt rushing towards $160 billion this year,

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to the point that our world credit rating has dropped from a AAA plus to a Standard

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and Poor's latest rating of AA.

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Well, well, that's today's episode.

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If you agree, share this with your friends. If you think I'm wrong, tell me why.

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Either way, it's time for a real conversation about Victoria's future.

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Stay safe, stay vigilant, and I'll see you around next time.

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Thank you for listening to Why Is It So? Make sure you tune in to our next episode.

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Remember, it's your last defence for common sense.